Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#294
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#249
Pace81.7#9
Improvement-0.3#194

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#294
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.3#166

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#294
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.6#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 6   @ Michigan St. L 66-98 1%     0 - 1 -11.1 +10.5 +10.5
  Nov 11, 2017 10   @ Michigan L 66-86 1%     0 - 2 -0.8 +9.6 +9.6
  Nov 13, 2017 129   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 85-95 12%     0 - 3 -4.9 +2.5 +2.5
  Nov 16, 2017 22   @ Florida L 68-108 2%     0 - 4 -23.2 +8.4 +8.4
  Nov 18, 2017 237   Mount St. Mary's L 81-84 37%     0 - 5 -7.5 -2.2 -2.2
  Nov 19, 2017 146   @ Wofford L 83-86 13%     0 - 6 +1.1 +2.1 +2.1
  Nov 25, 2017 38   @ Miami (FL) L 65-86 3%     0 - 7 -6.9 +7.1 +7.1
  Nov 29, 2017 143   Eastern Michigan W 84-81 OT 28%     1 - 7 +1.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Dec 11, 2017 342   @ Florida A&M W 101-89 65%     2 - 7 +0.1 -5.9 -5.9
  Dec 13, 2017 239   Florida International W 87-85 49%     3 - 7 -5.6 -3.8 -3.8
  Dec 16, 2017 40   @ Missouri L 51-85 3%     3 - 8 -20.1 +7.0 +7.0
  Dec 19, 2017 170   @ Ball St. L 65-79 16%     3 - 9 -11.3 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 22, 2017 59   @ LSU L 52-104 4%     3 - 10 -40.1 +6.0 +6.0
  Dec 30, 2017 56   @ Mississippi St. L 81-109 4%     3 - 11 -16.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Jan 06, 2018 320   Jacksonville L 86-90 68%     3 - 12 0 - 1 -16.8 -6.4 -6.4
  Jan 11, 2018 169   Lipscomb W 102-96 32%     4 - 12 1 - 1 +3.1 -1.5 -1.5
  Jan 13, 2018 307   Kennesaw St. W 85-78 65%     5 - 12 2 - 1 -4.9 -5.9 -5.9
  Jan 18, 2018 255   @ NJIT L 59-91 31%     5 - 13 2 - 2 -34.8 -1.4 -1.4
  Jan 20, 2018 337   @ South Carolina Upstate W 100-80 61%     6 - 13 3 - 2 +9.2 -5.4 -5.4
  Jan 24, 2018 127   Florida Gulf Coast L 87-96 25%     6 - 14 3 - 3 -9.8 -0.4 -0.4
  Jan 27, 2018 319   @ Stetson W 73-65 45%     7 - 14 4 - 3 +1.3 -3.3 -3.3
  Jan 29, 2018 127   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 70-103 12%     7 - 15 4 - 4 -27.8 +2.6 +2.6
  Feb 03, 2018 319   Stetson W 97-91 68%     8 - 15 5 - 4 -6.7 -6.4 -6.4
  Feb 08, 2018 307   @ Kennesaw St. L 81-89 42%     8 - 16 5 - 5 -13.9 -2.9 -2.9
  Feb 10, 2018 169   @ Lipscomb L 75-82 15%     8 - 17 5 - 6 -3.9 +1.5 +1.5
  Feb 15, 2018 337   South Carolina Upstate W 109-100 80%     9 - 17 6 - 6 -7.8 -8.4 -8.4
  Feb 17, 2018 255   NJIT W 86-75 54%     10 - 17 7 - 6 +2.2 -4.4 -4.4
  Feb 22, 2018 320   @ Jacksonville L 81-86 46%     10 - 18 7 - 7 -11.8 -3.4 -3.4
  Feb 26, 2018 255   @ NJIT W 80-76 31%     11 - 18 +1.2 -1.4 -1.4
  Mar 01, 2018 127   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 72-95 12%     11 - 19 -17.8 +2.6 +2.6
Projected Record 11.0 - 19.0 7.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 100.0% 100.0
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%